Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 7 |
7 |
Where’s Your Boom |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Combat Mission |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Le Cadeau |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Twenty One Red |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Tizlawry |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Leave Me |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Lord King |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 4 |
4 |
Pride of the Union |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Qbits |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Mission Critical |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Bootsy’s a Rascal |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Mosconi |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Classic Commander |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Life’s Too Short |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Calvary Hill |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 2 |
2 |
Will Not Be Swayed |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Hey Cookie |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Maxaluna |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Sassy Princess |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Sheer Will |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
In Awe of Juju |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Tiz Purple |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Carolina Smokeshow |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 6 |
6 |
Good Cop |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Counter Move |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Forgone |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Undergrad |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Sabby Sunset |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
| 10 |
10 |
Army Proud |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Monte Avi |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Perfect Shephard |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Big Brown Delivers |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Dr. Merciless |
50.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 2 |
2 |
Hadrian’s Wall |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Ottinho |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Double Act |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Gulfy |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Geostoblame |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Baltimore |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Grey Bull |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Print |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Mr Baldy |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 4 |
4 |
Kerness K |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Let It Ride |
3.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Re Markably |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Derek’s Law |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Typhoon Fury |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Tarpaulin |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Complex Music |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Capt Jax Parrow |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Big Z Og |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 5 |
5 |
Kay Cup |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Munnings Express |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
City Blocks |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Accelerating |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Hangover Heaven |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Lika Rolling Stone |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Intentious |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Mommasgottagun |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Bam’s Bliss Kiss |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
| 10 |
10 |
Storm Changer |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 9 |
9 |
Amundson |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Emerald Forest |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
For Some Reason |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Pot of Gold |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Tiberius Mercurius |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
| 10 |
10 |
Sin Nombre |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Prince of Truth |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
| 12 |
12 |
O P Firecracker |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Mister J T |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Scaramanga |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Run Happy Pappy |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
| 11 |
11 |
Glint |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
