Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Backtrack | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Compa | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince Lucas | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Wyatt Hunter | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Booted Up | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Stillwater Moon | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moving to Kentucky | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Davola | 3.50 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taporical | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aves Makin’ Waves | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Private Cabana | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mavis Mischief | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jackson’s Legacy | 6.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | K’s Storm Ready | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Carcharoth | 5.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Deportivo | 6.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chubasco Sauce | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quick to Judge | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of Fog | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Designed by Smarty | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cap’n Cats | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spherification | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Stones | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Capo | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Say Say Two K | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Reward | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Special Man | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Penta Zero Miedo | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stassi | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pearls and Heels | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Annabelle | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Uptown Girl | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tempest Rising | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tara’s Talent | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mended We Stand | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boss Like Beth | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gucci Vision | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Express | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Tenor | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saucy Ham | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocket Night | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Prairie Dunes | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Redoubtableripken | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Dollar | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | True Connection | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Commander | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carry Grant | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McKirgan | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | God Is Life | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Concrete Faze | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Popover Gal | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pachelbel | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Confirmed Star | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Put the Crazy Away | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maddie Ten | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Braquet | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scarborough Fair | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Miss | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Nezy’s Girl | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gotmistyonthemind | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daisy Believes | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nohai | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Catalina | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Go Chloe Go | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Justtakethecannoli | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gruene Hall | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey and Rain | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sperry Chalet | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hurricane Jane | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queenmother | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hope She Fires | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misty Bay | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Kris Kringle S.) – Kris Kringle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Double Your Money | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warp Nine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Vine | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deposition | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Ice | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Fast | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point Dume | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Adero | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Irish Cork | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hope’s Alive | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Blitzen S.) – Blitzen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Buccherino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howgreatisnate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dropline | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Meridius | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paradise Valley | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Ride | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Breeze | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Global Steve | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mrs. Claus S.) – Mrs. Claus S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Promising | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alani | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Not Too Late | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Foxy Junior | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Daze | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caitlin the Great | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eclair Blanc | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boutwell Time | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeanne Marie | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Abbie | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jess’s Moment | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Al Gimaam | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cold Feet | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | No Easy Days | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Don’t See Colors | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Factor U and Me In | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Normandy Hero | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | He’s in Charge | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grahmalamadingdong | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Shot | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Amusing Mischief | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Spotted Bull | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fighter Kite | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neigh Dude | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince of Rain | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty the Giant | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Dude | 8.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.