Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Warm Reception | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | French Moonlight | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benster | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Danzig Til Dawn | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suntory Time | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Flirt | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mperfection | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Green Zone | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Syntax | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tis Sunrise | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Voldemort | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mar Jerry | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clooney | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Normandy Landing | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feel the Magic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Charlie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Simplexity (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Please Focus | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Betterdaysrcoming (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hacking It Up | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minister Shane | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crosby Beach | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Royalty | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dakota Country | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Player B | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Binging | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commander (FR) | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maniatic (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Contrary Chieftain | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Resemblance | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crypto Ride | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taishan | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Juanito | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spun Not Stirred | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Eddie Logan S.) – Eddie Logan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stark Contrast | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plutarch | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iriseach (IRE) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Third Beer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brigante | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caro Buono (FR) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unrivaled Time | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tommy Norris | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiggrrr Whitworth | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Bodacious Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joker Went Wild | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rand Good | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Benny and the Jet | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Omission | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Hot | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carl Erskine | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Robert J. Frankel S.) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Public Assembly | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paradise Lake | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watchtower | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | As Catch Can | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Of Hill (BRZ) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Joker | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mahina | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cherry Cider | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kizazi | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ethereal Quality | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tokala | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feisty Red Head | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Cherry | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Detective | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greys Over Bays | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Opal | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Reign | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Both Sides of Bad | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lorenzo Bernini | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interplay | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fight Back | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Iron (FR) | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midway Lane | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missile Cruiser | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandisimo | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormin Midnight | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wasting Aces | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Babe Ruthless | 1.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.