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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 2, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rogue Justice 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Purple and Gold 1.20 2.4 5-1
1 1 Classic Cara 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Katerina Ristova 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lookie Here 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Lady Meringue 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Grumblyrumhogan 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tiger Rocket 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 First Blessing 12.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 State of Attack 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Southeastern 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Swiss Army Knife 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unbridled Bomber 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Laughing Boy 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Whiskey Frens 15.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 He’s Got This 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Commandperformance 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Shamateur 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Nobodyridesforfree 30.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Create Trouble 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alias 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Copious 1.80 1.3 2-1
5 5 Shadow Banking 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Implacable 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Roger Roger 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 My Military Hero 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Toy Cannon 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Tampa Storm 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 My Munny Talks 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mach Schnell 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Solomini’s World 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Vinnie Bankerino 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Major Bourbon 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 The Last Delivery 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tizmarkus 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Burninhunkoflove 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 D’ont Lose Cruz 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Stewie 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Apollo Code 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Brew Pub 4.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 Kaz Sugar Bank 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shootersgottashoot 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Romantic Dancer 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Danzit 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Hue 4.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Wild Mama 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sarir 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Practical Lov 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Adeliese’s Smile 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Lucille Ball 4.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Waveless 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Elegant 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Twirling Lulu 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Blame the Banker 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Maidstone 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Cara’s Dreamweaver 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Scarlet’s Dream 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Calisa 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Jay’s Love 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Chocolatechocolate 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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