Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | He’s Ready to Win | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valhalla Viking | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Penei | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toms Lucky Mo | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not Free | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Lagarto | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Trippin | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Straight Dropbilly | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silver Redesdale | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | After the Game | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Second Louie | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drobny | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Malice | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Kings | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Kimosabi | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blackberry Crown | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Woods | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Speaker | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ninth Ward Bobby O | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mingling Mo | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drewrelius | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Bandit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | F J’s Mayhem | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moondoggie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ole Mister | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Exploding Circle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Astrology | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lassie Bee | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Molli Way | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Assault | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Graceful Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jazzy Gal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Puckster | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bradford | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Duck | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart Prints | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notime Formischief | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Fortune | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Taco | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Littlebitofajimmy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gucci Boy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solidify | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Pride | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Road Trip | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timehascome | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Track Ranger | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothdini | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Numero Siete | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Fantasy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Favorite Son | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Moves | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Rojo Vivo | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Max Is G Money | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grazen Boy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Lover | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Dollars | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wolf Man Jack | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Quality | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Play the Trumpet | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cali Dreamin | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hes the Bomb Too | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quikonthetrigger | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gabbys Bling | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie’s Astro | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Sopo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m a Night Train | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stray Cat Strut | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dee’s Legs | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Native Requite | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lacey’s Kat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Awesome William | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.