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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 2, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Romeo Spikes 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Custom Ride 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Bandido Deal 1.80 2.4 4-1
2 2 One Grand Slam 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Blesseduponastar 4.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Closing Agent 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bourbon Boss 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flipping Fish 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Boss’ Dialin In 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Twirling Roses 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Oncoming Train 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Whiskey and Easy 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Honor That Dude 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr McGregor 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Calibrate 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Manfredi 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Summer in Adriane 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Write Off Jerry 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tahoe Run 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Masteroffoxhounds 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Curahee 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Guanare 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 American City 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Gavel 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Swift as I Am 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bigfoot Sighting 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Upturned Brim 3.50 6.4 12-1
2 2 Peso in My Pocket 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lamplighter Jack 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Half Brother 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Golden Bandit 12.00 3 6-1
10 10 Bizzee Channel 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Publius 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Deccan Prince (IRE) 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Even the Wind 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Duke of Carthania 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Gorilla Trek 4.50 6.2 12-1
4 4 Sendero 15.00 7 13-1
12 12 Great Escape 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 I’m Your Man 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Meroney 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Munnings Catsle 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Yorktown Panther 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Hesper 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Free Scrim 1.80 5.4 10-1
6 6 The Wicked Cat 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Achromedoutcat 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Clearly Majestic 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hitchcock 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Joe’s Candy 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Snare 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Urban Ruler 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Razorcat 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Ice Wolf 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sky Simon 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Prince Ben 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 First Samaritan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bette Davis 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Midnight Blaze 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Strawberry Sundae 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Roll Gypsy Roll 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Foreign Tourist 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 No Cost 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Lily’s Creed 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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