Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Romeo Spikes | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Ride | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bandido Deal | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Grand Slam | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blesseduponastar | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Closing Agent | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Boss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flipping Fish | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boss’ Dialin In | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Roses | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oncoming Train | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey and Easy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honor That Dude | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr McGregor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calibrate | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manfredi | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer in Adriane | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Write Off Jerry | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tahoe Run | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Masteroffoxhounds | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Curahee | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Guanare | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American City | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gavel | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swift as I Am | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bigfoot Sighting | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Upturned Brim | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peso in My Pocket | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lamplighter Jack | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Half Brother | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Bandit | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bizzee Channel | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Publius | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Even the Wind | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duke of Carthania | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gorilla Trek | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sendero | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Great Escape | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I’m Your Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Meroney | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Munnings Catsle | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yorktown Panther | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hesper | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Scrim | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Wicked Cat | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Achromedoutcat | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clearly Majestic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hitchcock | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe’s Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snare | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Urban Ruler | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Razorcat | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Wolf | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sky Simon | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Ben | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Samaritan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bette Davis | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Blaze | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strawberry Sundae | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Tourist | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Cost | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lily’s Creed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
