Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ganador | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Lagoon | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Au Naturel | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bolero Bay | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zenick | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Foolish Notion | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Wanna Be Me | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Apache One Six | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chillhouse | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tybee Echo | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Supreme Honor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vanessa’s Wish | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballycurrin | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pass Failed | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hope Diamond | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Paradise | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Lisa | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Spectacle | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm West | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tree House | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Old Son | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Prince | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud American | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing Tyreek | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gemstone Warrior | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinicio | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mariette | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nacho Problem | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Package | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dolce Vino | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kate the Smate | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glancing My Way | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Jak | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Esther | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Turkish Pistachio | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jestina | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empath | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Wicked Hot | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | M Bs Melanie Cares | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Tun Who | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Dream Lady | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby On Board | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Desire | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tempest Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Do It Lucy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Longbranch Lou | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fly the W | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle John | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninja Star | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaplin | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carentan | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Slide Park | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Preach | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outta Money | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Betty’s Pearl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Complicated | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affirming | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paradise | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Slew | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Song of Sarah | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Max | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spiced Up | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Figures | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twisted Filigree | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Niagara Skyline | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Test Factor | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xy Speed | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classy War | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Okiro | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eamonn | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rouki | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Naughty Rascal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Quereme Pass (ARG) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smoke an a Pancake | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble J | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ennis Town | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Beast | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vertrauen | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Now | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roar Ready | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Banded Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fraudster | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Curtain Call | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honfleur | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clean Winner | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sugar Doll | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mohawk Moon | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On Time Delivery | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surprise Ending | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Preclude (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cat Island | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Spicy Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ring Rights | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Beside You | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | She Reigns | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Josie Joe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Smitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
