Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Singlemore | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | P Town Prancer | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charmz Away | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunk Cost Fallacy | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guaguarero | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brahms Mendelssohn | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Da Gig | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Darlin Sugaree | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobs Honey | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Table Lady | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pasalubong | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gracies Gem | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Morals | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Della Terra | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turkey Bird | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West Fresno | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddygaveittome | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jennys Wine Girl | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dad’s Bad Bunny | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Evco | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentlemen’s Club | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nobel Gary | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Big Smile | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Rocks | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kamaina Cruiser | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pat Can’t Count | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Bill | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hardtobebetternow | 1.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rich Reward | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Element | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Delhi | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Benny’s Puzzle | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maul | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Las Flores S.) – Las Flores S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thermal | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificat | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ooty (ARG) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margarita Girl | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nafisa | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honey’s Choice | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plettenberg Bay | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chapter One | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B G Bullet | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ahrens | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Ambush | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Airliner | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruler of Law | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Toby’s Honor | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Postmodern | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Winds of Freedom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Howbeit | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nostrangrtotherain | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Distant Fleet | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zombo Bombo | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Windribbon | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brutto | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silverado Storm | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grazen Sun | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Christel Clean | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Facts | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danzing Flyer | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pavel’s Etoile | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mendelssohns Angel | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dorie Miller | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Demps | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freya | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shezmisbehaving | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clubhouse Cutie | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nell’s Legacy | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strange Addiction | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.