Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Cheryl’s Song | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Rags | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Accustomed | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tarkington Sunrise | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roberts Revenge | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poppy Red | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jenny’s Day | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Close | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Rose | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Quality | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northernreflection | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Napoleonic Code | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Forsaken | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City of Love | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mor Jazz | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockall | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stans Home Run | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crime Spree | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pinch Me a Penny | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Sugar Factory | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kara Flash | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Complete Wrap | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapper | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R T’s Cajun Star | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boujie Bear | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Hills | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evie’s Red Rider | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shouldabeenacowboy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pop Lock and Drop | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Call Fern | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Meaner Than Mean | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | McLaren Vale | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Brady | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocketeightyeight | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copter | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Straight Luck | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Only a Dream | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Rick | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Knicks Story | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Eagle | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Castle Island | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sam’s Promise | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ells | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deanos Cape | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moro Mafia | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Bonz | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Ready | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johnnysjourney | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Jackpot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Sassicaia | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pennys Deal | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leobobanna | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Dan | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seehoss | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Boy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | On the Horizon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aye Bay Bay | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold the Drama | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spotlight Girl | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Philly Kan | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Shipman | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shesabeast | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appeal | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fly Strong | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swampy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Whisper Me a Smile | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Rolling | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Love Mango’s | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia’s Mission | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Back Again | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Walknto Neworleans | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hint of Promise | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Class Trip | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | U Rascal U | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Metallic Mischief | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quaternion | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rodavlas | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eligio | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Garnet Jubilee | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Butchy Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Call | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cash Holiday | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corked | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.