Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Only Reputation | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Life | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brandon’s Girl | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morgan’s Bluff | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Expressive Love | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lithesome | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mrazek’s Old Dream | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faithful Truth | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Surf Song | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bint Al Dandy (IRE) | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Street | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’sastunner | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Claire Austin | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Kitty Boom | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Santa Ynez S.) – Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Explora | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Revera | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Wally | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Himika | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bottle of Rouge | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sirnami | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Filkins | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Almost There | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eye of the Smiley | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Romantic Ride | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Omen | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bring Om the Bacon | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beeblebrox | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monsieur Big | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heroic Dose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Whiz Kidd | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rocky Colavito | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ottis Betts | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (San Vicente S.) – San Vicente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buetane | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acknowledgemeplz | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Rebel | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Happy | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greenwich Village | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Rider | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pocket Venus | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy Women | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magale | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Lil Lady | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clubhouse Cutie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Maryann | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Rose | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coiffeur | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Ticket | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Mountain | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No More Ding Dongs | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nobel Gary | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last Call Paul | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Big Smile | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drum Bunny | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Rocks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Castle Leoch | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dakota Country | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Russells Hustle | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So I’m Told | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ah Jeez | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gem Mint Ten | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vantastic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Veritas Aequitas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Empress of Grace | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brookys Gal | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Rousing Babe | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Splendid | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rythem Girl | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Sway | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rousing Jewel | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dress Rehearsal | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dial a Friend | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cali Cat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cullen J | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of Dragons | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Druidic | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pass the Baton | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Refocus | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Afternoon Nap | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frank Bullitt | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Dolce | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Percival | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Smokin Dude | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cardiff Crack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 98 | Highplainsdrifter | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Warm Sun and Brew | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.