Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Cause | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | More Than a Shadow | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Word | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Villa Rose | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fermi | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Sheila | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baronia | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Relentless Lady | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Candy Girl | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Must Be the Shoes | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Flash | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tall Story | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand David | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bluff | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready for a Fight | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jim’s Hope | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Tiger | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | La Dinamita | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Polaris | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Geisha | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Paradise | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestuosa | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee N Dee | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riddle Me Khozy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wiggle An’ Wine | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Garuda | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musical Design | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breezey Bella | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucy’s Cookie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bonita Diamond | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Any Moment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Three Cheers | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fazzone | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skip Forward (JPN) | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Banker’s Jet | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win Street | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imponente | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surfer’s Joy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Big Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Interlude | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gallant Knight | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rolling On | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saybrook | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pet Mat | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Skull | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Identity Crisis | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lamcaro | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McMullen | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loud Applause | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tricky Tiger | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Hate | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Run | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valid Sense | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leigh’s Last Hero | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Street Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boat’s a Rockin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artemus Citylimits | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itza Boss | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Send Cash | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front End | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Pour | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beijing Boss | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Military Cruiser | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cap Ferrat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Philly | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. Olaf Rose | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neom City | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vayesta | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girvin Star | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brenna | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hard Storm | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blackmail | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patrol Squad Six | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunrise | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gairloch | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thousandsticks | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truman’s Commander | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knoty Knicks | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tacticality | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Omaha Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.