Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Noguchi | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnanimous Max | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come to Papa | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thorsness | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Brown Delivers | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Barrie | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purple and Gold | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavens Lee | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn’s Turn | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cha Cha Wren | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That’sthefactjack | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Furry Fox | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Dancer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atarah | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Despo’s Dream | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Grace | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purr Factor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proud Foot | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lost Horizon | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Formaggio | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raghba | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trango Tower | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dimensionality | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laylani Lou | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pay the Bills (FR) | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leading Role | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ari’s Magic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capt Jax Parrow | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Panagiotis | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Airborne Elite | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiote | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collect From Ike | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapizar’s Temper | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Systemic Change | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feeling Woozy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stolen Base | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ridgewood Runner | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neon Bordeaux | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Analog Jones | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnolia Midnight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mad Banker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smilensaycheese | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo for the King | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toga Dan | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joe West | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Time Yes | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Kreesa | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smallchangegeep | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oath of Omerta | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.