Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dolly’s Guitar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Stricklands Ace | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeshecanrun | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pip Squeek | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Jet | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deal With It | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wings of a Sparrow | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany’s Ferrari | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Dad’s Guitar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Toga | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Warrior | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Moon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Kimosabi | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Kings | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Alliance | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kah Nigh | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hawaiian Argument | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | I Don’t Venmo | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ranch Water | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Play Mo | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Peter’s Bay | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grazen Boy | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You’re On Mute | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | French Composer | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Together | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Them Justin | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Leblon | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Thunderer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Come On Mulitch | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guns | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Screen | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | North of Bali | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Primo Canary | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Thief | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pyromania | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Party At Jays | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Misterholyroller | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Misty Mood | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Note | 1.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Glass | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nomoretanlines | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Map Needed | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosie’s Angus | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s Late Again | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge J J | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Mitole | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Million Moons | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nopenottonight | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tdzshininluckystar | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jeffrow | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fiesty Fist | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up N Gone | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Floating Beauty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me the Candy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gottotry Mischief | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Friend Amy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Cat | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tryinmyheartout | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace the Kingdom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Delphine | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mutually Exclusive | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Deal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cincy’s Player | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taylors Enticed | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Breakup | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Santa Maria | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lincoln’s Target | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shezhell On Wheels | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat Ate the Canary | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thats Unbelievable | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ancho | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.