Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dolly’s Guitar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Stricklands Ace | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pip Squeek | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeshecanrun | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Jet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deal With It | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany’s Ferrari | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wings of a Sparrow | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Toga | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Kimosabi | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Kings | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Dad’s Guitar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kah Nigh | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Moon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Don’t Venmo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Alliance | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hawaiian Argument | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Warrior | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Play Mo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ranch Water | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Thunderer | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You’re On Mute | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | French Composer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Kitten | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leblon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get Them Justin | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Peter’s Bay | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grazen Boy | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Together | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | North of Bali | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Primo Canary | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guns | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Party At Jays | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Screen | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Come On Mulitch | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Thief | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pyromania | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misterholyroller | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Note | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosie’s Angus | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nomoretanlines | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Mood | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Map Needed | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Glass | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Mitole | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Late Again | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jeffrow | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge J J | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tdzshininluckystar | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nopenottonight | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fiesty Fist | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up N Gone | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Million Moons | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Floating Beauty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tryinmyheartout | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Cat | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me the Candy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Friend Amy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gottotry Mischief | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grace the Kingdom | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mutually Exclusive | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thats Unbelievable | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cincy’s Player | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Deal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lincoln’s Target | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cat Ate the Canary | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delphine | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shezhell On Wheels | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taylors Enticed | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ancho | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Breakup | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Santa Maria | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.