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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 15, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spicy Italian 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sister Saint 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Smart Izzy 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Fret No More 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Came Up Roses 3.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Maylen 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sautee Nacoochee 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Metallic Maid 4.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Custom Value 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bistineau Beauty 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Betsy Louise 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Hannah Boo 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Cava de Oro 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cat’s Custom 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Secret Wine 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Diamond Country 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Vanna G 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Clearly Bella 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Classy Mimi 5.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Talkabout 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Our Indian Girl 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sacred Vow 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Adiamondinthestorm 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Awesomesauce 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Good Conduct 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Time Stone 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Channel Check (GB) 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 McKinzie’s Glory 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Galatina 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Buckeye Bombshell 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sky Low Low 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sunshine Daydream 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Queen Jubilee 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sand Street 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Silver Halo 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Byword 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Allied Commander 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 C’Est Magnifique 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Steely Eye 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Saratoga Slack 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Westeros 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Elmore 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Good and Stout 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Allnight Moonlight 1.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 Kenmore West 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Laser Clad 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Woods N Water 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Behemah Star 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Custom’s Cleared 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Wicked Secret 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Autodrive 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Attache 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Banned for Life 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Save the Trees 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bergen 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Honky Tonk Highway 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Machine Gun Man 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Grand Academic 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Shan 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Gaza Heroico (CHI) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Auntie Vodka 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Sharp Mindset 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Click 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Pleasing 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 My Blue Line (GB) 15.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Gus’s Gal 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Baby Hello 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Fresh Out 8.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Daddario 8.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Twirling Claire 8.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Deceitful Banker 8.00 11.2 21-1
6 6 Mo Echos 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Danzig’s Dora 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Honor and Obay 6.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Promesa Divina 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Helena Baby 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lolita J 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Pam’s Friend 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Ice Cold Blonde 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 M K’s Rockette 4.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Well Received 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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