Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Italian | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Saint | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Came Up Roses | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Izzy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maylen | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fret No More | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sautee Nacoochee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Value | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metallic Maid | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betsy Louise | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cava de Oro | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bistineau Beauty | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hannah Boo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cat’s Custom | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secret Wine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Country | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clearly Bella | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talkabout | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Mimi | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vanna G | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Indian Girl | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adiamondinthestorm | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Vow | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Awesomesauce | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Conduct | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time Stone | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Jubilee | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galatina | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McKinzie’s Glory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Channel Check (GB) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buckeye Bombshell | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Daydream | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Low Low | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silver Halo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C’Est Magnifique | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Byword | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Slack | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sand Street | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Westeros | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Allied Commander | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steely Eye | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elmore | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Allnight Moonlight | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good and Stout | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kenmore West | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Secret | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laser Clad | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom’s Cleared | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woods N Water | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Behemah Star | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Banned for Life | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Save the Trees | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autodrive | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bergen | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Attache | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Honky Tonk Highway | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Machine Gun Man | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Academic | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shan | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gaza Heroico (CHI) | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sharp Mindset | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gus’s Gal | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Click | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Deceitful Banker | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddario | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fresh Out | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Claire | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Auntie Vodka | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Blue Line (GB) | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasing | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Hello | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Echos | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Danzig’s Dora | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | M K’s Rockette | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pam’s Friend | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor and Obay | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Received | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promesa Divina | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lolita J | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helena Baby | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Cold Blonde | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.