Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Soar Richard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Improbable | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guaio | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Anna Roll | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Kid Syd | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happyflyer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucchesi | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carnaby | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fazaro | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Real Talented | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Buddy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie’s Express | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Mendel | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scudetto | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Darvesh | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberty Runner | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back East | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hotmessness | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Downanddirtydonna | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uptown Art | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Princess | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tush Push | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariah’s Big Girl | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Natures Fury | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soundsmischievous | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bulma | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Betty | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In the Biz | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breezefromtheeast | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Desert Aire | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jace Is No Joke | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carcharoth | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | God Is Life | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Evasive Moves | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Travel Guide | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Composer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warrior’s Vendetta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marty’s Magic | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rackataptap | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Captain | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Lights | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jayjaydee | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deplane | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chip’s Friend | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Neigh Dude | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Tempo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nuedorf | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yuletide Gallop | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downtownchalybrown | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Try Harder | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runandscore | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Excellorator | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Gauge | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Recker Point | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missouri River | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margie’s Fun Son | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Imagination | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Tinmarin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chachaching | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Cay | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Porter | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Guy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Warrior | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inmortal J | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Heist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Winsalot | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dither | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pogi | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ira the Icon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Run’s for You | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brewing | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Superfly | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mega Charlie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sam Wheat | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.