Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Hero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woodall Pass | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shinovar | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caroom’s Croupier | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classical Echo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Moon | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Mo Birdie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm After Dark | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Special Stormy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biloxi | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Insignis | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into Wishing | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Business Model | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wood River | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secular Stagnation | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fly Ty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamchaser Jewels | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Bells | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Norma G | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toomush | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ancho | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Point | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Boss Soss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purrrfect Rhythm | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Throwin’ Shade | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pitch and Run | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regatta Bay | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Thimble | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Super Wicked | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gift Giver | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gobot | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Game and Gormley | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Charla Collection | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seraphina Sea | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ry Ry | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taylors Wonder | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Q | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foggy Morning | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Security Queen | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sittin On Go | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingscote | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B Minor | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barbacoa | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Redesdale | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Confucius | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Mischief | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Brad | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Passion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Sky | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K G’s Magic | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Encore d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Educated Wish | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ridearoundsalley | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Dancer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Delight | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ballinonabudjet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Star | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Ami | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Breeze | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Picasso Baby | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toni’s Inferno | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Titanium Deal | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cheyenne Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Star | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gimme It All | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Reckless Run | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Nice | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Wicked Number | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thousand Angels | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Littlebitofaqueen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Splendor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.