Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Hero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woodall Pass | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Moon | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shinovar | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classical Echo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caroom’s Croupier | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm After Dark | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Mo Birdie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Into Wishing | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Business Model | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Insignis | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Stormy | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biloxi | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wood River | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secular Stagnation | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Toomush | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Point | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamchaser Jewels | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ancho | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly Ty | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Bells | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Norma G | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Boss Soss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pitch and Run | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gift Giver | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Super Wicked | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regatta Bay | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purrrfect Rhythm | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Throwin’ Shade | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Thimble | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Game and Gormley | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gobot | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seraphina Sea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charla Collection | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ry Ry | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taylors Wonder | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Q | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Security Queen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foggy Morning | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Redesdale | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sittin On Go | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barbacoa | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingscote | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B Minor | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Mischief | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Confucius | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Brad | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Passion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ridearoundsalley | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Sky | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Dancer | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K G’s Magic | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Delight | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Educated Wish | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Encore d’Oro | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Star | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballinonabudjet | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Ami | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Titanium Deal | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toni’s Inferno | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Breeze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Picasso Baby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Be Nice | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Star | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheyenne Moon | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thousand Angels | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Reckless Run | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Wicked Number | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Littlebitofaqueen | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gimme It All | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Splendor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.