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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 17, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sin Nombre 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Union Express 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Flat On 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Confabulation 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Because the Night 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kismeholdmethrlme 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 A Lister 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hey Toby 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Unbroken Chain 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Corvus 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Three B’s 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Givememythememusic 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Capital Gal 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lonchura 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Brooklyn Dantz 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hello Beauty 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Last Glory 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Off Script 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Grand 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Clancy Fancy 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 What’s Up Bro 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Beary Funny 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ten Cent Town 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Trust Fund 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Master Freud 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Yo Banana Boy 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Majestic Tiger 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stop the Spread 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Commandperformance 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nobodyridesforfree 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mr. Ripple 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Run Happy Pappy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Eric From Miami 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mister Holden 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Majestic Arc 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hard to Say 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lean Music Machine 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dialbolico 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Celtic Prince 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Come Full Circle 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cool Hand Rich 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pandemic Hero 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 O P Firecracker 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Skylander 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Unbridled Bomber 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 He’s Got This 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Pot of Gold 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Melt With You 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Aleah Aleah 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Whiskey Frens 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Ladies S.) – Ladies S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sultry Lass 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Just Katherine 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Scalable 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Curlin’s Girl 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Low Country Magic 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Weigh the Risks 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Quietside 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ourdaydreaminggirl 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Inonit 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 No Filter 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dr. Merciless 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Army Proud 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Alias 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Into Inspiration 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Seeker’s Hope 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Monte Avi 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sports Hero 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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