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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 17, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Confabulation 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Flat On 1.40 2 4-1
2 2 Union Express 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Sin Nombre 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Kismeholdmethrlme 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Because the Night 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Three B’s 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Unbroken Chain 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Hey Toby 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Givememythememusic 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Corvus 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 A Lister 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 She’s Grand 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Off Script 1.40 1.1 2-1
4 4 Hello Beauty 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Capital Gal 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Last Glory 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Brooklyn Dantz 20.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Lonchura 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 What’s Up Bro 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Trust Fund 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Yo Banana Boy 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Beary Funny 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Ten Cent Town 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Clancy Fancy 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Master Freud 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Ripple 1.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mister Holden 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Majestic Tiger 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Run Happy Pappy 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Stop the Spread 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Eric From Miami 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Nobodyridesforfree 30.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Commandperformance 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hard to Say 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lean Music Machine 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Celtic Prince 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Pandemic Hero 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Come Full Circle 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Dialbolico 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Cool Hand Rich 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Majestic Arc 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Skylander 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Melt With You 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Pot of Gold 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 He’s Got This 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Unbridled Bomber 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Whiskey Frens 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 O P Firecracker 6.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Aleah Aleah 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Ladies S.) – Ladies S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Weigh the Risks 0.60 1 2-1
7 7 Quietside 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Just Katherine 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Scalable 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Ourdaydreaminggirl 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Low Country Magic 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Curlin’s Girl 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sultry Lass 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 No Filter 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Army Proud 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Into Inspiration 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Sports Hero 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Seeker’s Hope 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Inonit 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Monte Avi 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Dr. Merciless 30.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Alias 1.60 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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