Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Colonial Sense | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jenn’s Beliefs | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Incendiary | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caparbia | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smiling Rosie | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lisa Connects | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | That’s Amore | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spiral | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flowerbomb | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Del Mar Sunrise (IRE) | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Bianca | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sovereign Grace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Diana | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | So Grand | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Therapy | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Street | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Four Beach Friends | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Honour | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Rabano | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dominican Thunder | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lodato | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chesterville | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St Joe Fury | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’m Sam | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pronti O Meno | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Game It | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Il Vagabundo | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chicken Dance | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scottie Too Hottie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spirit of the Law | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reminder | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guys Trip | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby Bob | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Su Dream | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heaven’s Champion | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cryptonym | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Magellan | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fortuny | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coburg | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comprehensive | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Friday Night Light | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congressional | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gondorff | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Protect and Defend | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chemical Romance | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tinki Abarrio | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slew Diva | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miguel’s Belle | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Cairo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Opposite the Crowd | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sophisticated Cat | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Due | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Navy Cross | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salvattore Prince | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Four Top | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manhattan Boy | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshine Frolic | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold N Breezy | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speight’spercomete | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Guildenstern (IRE) | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rock the Stars | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honesto | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Will of a Warrior | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Selecto | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Light Fury | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Carentan | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Terrapin Station | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beastly Speed | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Win | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steeze | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Statesman | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucas’s Mischief | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Radical Rhetoric | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sunshine Turf S.) – Sunshine Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Neoequos | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seminole Chief | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Hand | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Abarrio | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Lane | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic of Course | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brawn | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tank | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adios Cole | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarecrow | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Anamnestic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Our Souper Hero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Sunshine Sprint S.) – Sunshine Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Damon’s Mound | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Paradise | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neshume | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keep On Moving | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raging Fury | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nothingsubtle | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Bucchero | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bessamay | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pitkin | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Limited Edition | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freaky | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gallant Lad | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Accelerando | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arkhipov | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Authentic Legend | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyrush | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Completeeffort (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.