Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sittin Chilly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backtrack | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Booted Up | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Davola | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | We Miss Neil | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Man Bob | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Dosser | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Clint | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Azure Lady | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Like Crazy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mikey’s Song | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirited Ride | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Lucky Girl | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melittlefrostgirl | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violets Smile | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beachgrass | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Princess | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girlfromouterspace | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amaterasu | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Spice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s Express | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Jersey | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coalville | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Dream | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regalpains | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guaio | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dirty Harry | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lovemeakaren | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Authentic Kingdom | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lyonzi | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jadon’s Honor | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extrasexymcsteemee | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whoosh | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | God Is Life | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Know Me | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everheart | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tariba Dream | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Post It | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ragtap Girl | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lino and Me | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alma Brilha | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joey the Fish | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shady Munni | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yodel E. A. Who | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Got Swagger | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Traffic Master | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Endeavor | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preach It Warrior | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Epic Luck | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ahsad | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Panama Limited | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gurt’s Reward | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dale | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | They Got Curry | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turn On Twiss | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disco Hopp | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Aficionado | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geebert | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fight Fiercely | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dos de Oros | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet N Win | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tallahatchiebridge | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Maestro | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zippy Gizmo | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Compa | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wyatt Hunter | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stillwater Moon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mavis Mischief | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Private Cabana | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Ham | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Legacy | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast N Sweet | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crack the Code | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
