Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Barcents | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl From de Bayou | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby’s Girl | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | That’s the Deal | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Country Angel | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dose of Reality | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Revenger | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Magic | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missneversatisfied | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freddie by a Nose | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | City Park | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Infinitesimal | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Together | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muffin Nuts | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Takeover Fiftyfour | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Bonz | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Witchology | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yakety Yock | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | S D’s Takeover | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Houstons Eagle | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Eddie A | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toms Lucky Mo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Iwannabeamachoman | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Roux | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Littlebitofajimmy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brother Ryan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nelle Tue Mani | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Solidify | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timehascome | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baron of the Nile | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Bet | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Essay | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Auto Dial | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unfathomed | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Lover | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. B Cause | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Road Trip | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Sunrise | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Making Mischief | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Appeal Kati | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uthinkicare | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Customs | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Totally Mitole | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Cigarette | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Orthodox Dixie | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steal Tiz One | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smoothdini | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Changing Times | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twelve Volt | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stiff Drink | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Pickle | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rockall | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luni Sima | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Going the Distance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Debbies Passage | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jaydyn Cat | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany’s Ferrari | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cranky Sheila | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Temple | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sara’s Sapphire | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seehoss | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yankeestrolgy | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Idol | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summertime Peppers | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chad’s Flash | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Prospect | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ahooga | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajunsmores | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dirty Deal | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Everlovingmo | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Coal | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chatty Milligan | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Running Production | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dauntless Star | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charismatic Sailor | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Therealdeal | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ongoing Challenge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cozzino | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.