Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Belly Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Old Nine (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Billy Joe Shaver | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt Supremacy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Player B | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Go Go | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Step Beyond | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Chaser | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Tariff | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokeintheair | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Autism Unity | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Matts Advisor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A Day to Remember | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burning Rubber | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silly Rabbit | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Potito | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proudly Hailed (GB) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Outrageous | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uffda | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rousing Jewel | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auditory | 1.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Rousing Babe | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryder’s Candy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Island Home | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shane’s the Brains | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Channel Place | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Dream | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inbox (GB) | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victorious Dream (IRE) | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emirates Affair | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Trickster | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buds N Suds | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Ju Forget | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cee’s the Image | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Willa T | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Resolve | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starts Now | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crazy Cami | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take A Breath (GB) | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Charter (GB) | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Mizen Queen (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angelic Appeal (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Sienna (ARG) | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (La Canada S.) – La Canada S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brilliantly | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So There She Was | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fugitive Star | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jane Austen | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nafisa | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ooty (ARG) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Christel Clean | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Facts | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danzing Flyer | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pavel’s Etoile | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miz Clubcali | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodnight Nellie | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mendelssohns Angel | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shezmisbehaving | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lamporghini | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.