Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nuedorf | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roan Burgundy | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tatum | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven Street | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strawberry Treat | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jebologist | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pogi | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hatch | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hephepcutdownnets | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play the Gray | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trotsky | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Rod Kitty | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nogradi | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party With Smarty | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tavern Time | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Men Violin | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wine and Roses | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judy’s Flyer | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicklow Pooka | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am Rue | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gingersayschill | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keystormrising | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Easy Action | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Don’t See Colors | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Borracho | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chineseiam | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curious Soul | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jake Rocks | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Thomas | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral’s Wave | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wish for Peace | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Game Time | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Balantyne | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Striking Sparks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Genius | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anointed Spirit | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uninvited Guest | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Frontier | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amity Road | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | H C Holiday | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sailor’s Return | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imaginized | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Nanisca | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Dancer | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paddy’s Gift | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iracebeth | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Browneyedvalentine | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shudabeenacowgirl | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | You’re Forever | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Opportunity | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Virologist | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hopeforgreatness | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose of Sharon | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Heights | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flag Song Flyin | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Classic Union | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jigsaw | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Martini Martin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bird King | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Reunion | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cattin | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Daniel | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Cupid | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shouldhavebeengone | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Buccherino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Valley | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dropline | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Counterspy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Ride | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Over and Ollie | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bernie’s Mitts | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One More Scoop | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fighter Kite | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Omaha Eight | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlins Cruzin | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enforcer | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Brown Shoes | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | No No Joe | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Inter Miami | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cantaro | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Immense Faith | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Catire Vizcaya | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Granted Success | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Captains | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Winsalot | 3.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cobble Road | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
