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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Igniter 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Tartabull 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Blue Forty Two 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Slay Sadie Slay 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Hedge Ratio 1.20 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Whiskey N Soda 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Peek 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sharp Spark 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bob John Ray 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Dreaming of Gerry 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Gametime Gladiator 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vino Samara 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Five to Two 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Timia 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Last Glory 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Alyvia Mavis 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Farm House 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Moonlit Weekend 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cara Fiore 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Baffle 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Full of Tact 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Just Tell Anne 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Pomerance 1.20 4.5 8-1
2 2 Some Ride 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Contrary Mary 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Free Spin 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Copious 1.60 2.9 5-1
3 3 Momentum Files 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Market Watch 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Oil Capital 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Gualillo 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mr R T 30.00 8 15-1
2 2 Admiral Indy 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pistol Liz Ablazen 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Proud Foot 1.60 3 6-1
7 7 Patty Cakes 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Luna Moth 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Floge 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Foxy Cara 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Whistler’s Style 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kinetic 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Pay Billy 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Classicist 4.50 5.7 11-1
5 5 Donegal Surges 2.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Yo Daddy 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Big Blue Line 8.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Dreamlike 6.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Whittington Park 12.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Film Star 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Last Delivery 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Broken Record 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Twisted Banker 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Tampa Storm 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Mo Curls 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Hoity Moroni 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Charlie Charmer 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Tony Hooks 10.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Anyway 3.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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