Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Catalina | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Daisy Believes | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Go Chloe Go | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifth of May | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tiggy Thunder | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hope She Fires | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cynthia Gail | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ready to Romance | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | English Elsa | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Refined Elaine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gruene Hall | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alice Fantastic | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bythebreeze | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gunman Jayvo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lion in the Sun | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up the Kingdom | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor for Mandin | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Plus Ten | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Penn Franklin | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gavone | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grande Felino | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raging Cajun | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paterno | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jethro Excellence | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J Cody | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broad Strokes | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sevenon | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Love Song | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Persian | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiptop | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marelow | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Churning Berni | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Flyin Mike | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Spirit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Styner | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Gambling | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bestsugardaddyever | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Mode | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fluff the Pillow | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tricolour | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Union Purrfection | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kevin’s Strike | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ramiel | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Moving to Kentucky | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Motion | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Donnelly’s Hollow | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hey River | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Modern Era | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exclusive Dancer | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch Hill | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Runner | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bijah Again | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Point Strut | 12.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Commander | 6.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Arlys | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happily Delusional | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoke Wagon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tested | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Colton | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secured Landing | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hope’s Alive | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Rewards | 5.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unsolved Mystery | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Gem | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Put the Crazy Away | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Easy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pachelbel | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Popover Gal | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Society Ball | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snappy Ride | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Charm | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mega Mil | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alani | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Daze | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Laura | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tower Twenty Two | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess’s Moment | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butter Kisses | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jeanne Marie | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Like Beth | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Magicnthemoonlight | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Wildcat | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crypt | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capital Conquest | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Book Runner | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Disturbed | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brindisi | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lieutenant Stan | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Genghis | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bali Amour | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiempo Perfecto | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modern Midas | 15.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Lights | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arak | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.