Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Revel Toast | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Smoke | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Front Runnin | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L’Eclair | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnolia’s Mission | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | P. O. S. H. Posh | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shepherd | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t No Disco | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Mo | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D Day Sky | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matinee Idol | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sand Cast | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Traitour | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fade to Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Star Tout | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clearly My Star | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All You | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Queen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mom’s Hands | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Just Simple | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nova Nova Nova | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Castle Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Daiquiri Sommelier | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Main Beach | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Interlock Empire | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Whale | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Utopian | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raising Kane | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Dax | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Coach Mazzula | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Struck At Midnight | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chat Room | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Faye’s Gold | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rain Gold | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zaffa | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amazing Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nelson’s Penny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hurricane Kate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Clearly Authentic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Synthetic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trust Fund Philly | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gerlin’s Empire | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Irish | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miz Chris | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wondrous | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Rhythm | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Terra Bella | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Street Pizzaz | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dagmara | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ur Desire | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ontology | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Eagle | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Beauty | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Al Muheerah | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alas | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bugs Malone | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mothertwotheblues | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Adorable Moments | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alrosa | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ocala Gala | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mighty Hankerin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Champagne Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dreaming of June | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wizard of Yester | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miracle On Central | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daredevil Doug | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | September Silver | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Max the Butler | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run David Run | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Faith’s Spirit | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coboch | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calling On Heaven | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Mine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Soul Coaxing | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Background | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Ditty | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ben Dreaming | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | People Force | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Venom | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sendero | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ricky Bobby | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Motor City Menace | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Regimental | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crepe Yarns | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.