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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Copious 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Free Spin 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Antietam 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Frostelle 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Oil Capital 3.00 6 11-1
6 6 Gualillo 4.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Mr R T 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ohoopee 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Daniella Marie 1.60 3.2 6-1
1 1 St. Brigid’s Cross 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Belloro 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Admiral Sol 4.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Baseball Lady 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Karey 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Berning Beauty 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mad Banker 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sanzio 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Concorde Spirit 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Corvus 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Caddiemaster 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Landauer 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vettriano 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Toxic Gray 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Top Gun Rocket 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Brigadier General 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Emirates Road 3.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Ignite the Light 3.50 6.8 13-1
1 1 Locke and Key 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cara Fiore 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Saratoga Party 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Full of Tact 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Baffle 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Some Ride 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Ballerinacappucina 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Contrary Mary 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Just Tell Anne 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Brave Buck 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dot’s Dollar 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Emerald Forest 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Tizmarkus 2.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Prince of Truth 15.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 For Some Reason 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 D’ont Lose Cruz 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Canyouhearmerunnin 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Mister J T 30.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Scaramanga 20.00 10.4 20-1
7 7 Prince of Joy 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kinetic 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Classicist 4.00 4 7-1
3 3 Yo Daddy 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Donegal Surges 2.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Film Star 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Dreamlike 5.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Big Blue Line 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bootsy’s a Rascal 30.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hurricane Kaz 12.00 1.1 2-1
12 12 Twenty One Red 12.00 2.2 4-1
13 13 Pride of the Union 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Power Speed 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Manhattan Chrome 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mach Seven 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Professor Proton 30.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Nowucme Nowudont 12.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 B Thedonald 3.50 7.8 15-1
2 2 Ice House 12.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Bounty Banker 8.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Diamond Life 30.00 10 19-1
11 11 Eye On the Ball 20.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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