Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Undergrad | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Nines Fine | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Garden of Grace | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patience N Grace | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Delilah | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustling Town | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tahila | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Dancer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Will Not Be Swayed | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paula’s a Star | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Grace | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarir | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Cleopatra | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soloshot | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gulfy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Army Knife | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Where’s Your Boom | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neigh Baby | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exhibition Only | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Tipsy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Joke | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Blessing | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Best Impression | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Open Soul Autism | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tabloid Material | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Book of Wisdom | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enigmatic | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maggie T | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lao | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dream On Cara | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tenacious Child | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cathedral Aisle | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Girl Aubree | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fairy Godmother | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game and Blue | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grit N Glitter | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boiling Point | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She’s Bankable | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flee | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ishkabibble | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Merica’s Back | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roofer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fireballin | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New York Scrappy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbroken Chain | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Kartrite | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don Luis | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiote | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grace and Grit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Wadadli | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tower Twenty Two | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Angelina | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redwineandwhiskey | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Howling Wind | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rare Society | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Lily | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Kidding | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Farm House | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Dragon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Oak | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Analog Jones | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Register | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Jim | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exploration | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Re Markably | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Complex Music | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scat Tu Tap | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shoot the Nickel | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Surge | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Symphony | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Andy | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dormello | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sergeant Capps | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fiddling Felix | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Carvellian Quest | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playa Del Mar | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gamebred | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twohonestmischief | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | House United | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mozambique | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Timaeus | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Alias | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Proud | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thorsness | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Inspiration | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seeker’s Hope | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Projectability | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sports Hero | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inonit | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Monte Avi | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admiral Indy | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Merciless | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.