Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thunderhawk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Halo | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Instamatical | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sand Street | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Slack | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Express Line | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Pleasure | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Orient | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Union | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Be Salty | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dakota Cam | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McKinzie Magic | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ballybay Beauty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Came Up Roses | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Guile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Edge Sword | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avery’s Gem | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pensacola | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We Miss Arlington | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Notion | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Splash | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Premium | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Wine | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aurora Sky | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Twirling Claire | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Beach | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lewinsky | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flash N Dash | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chardan | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Sweeter | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Complex | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tei Tei Tei D | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hay Jude | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clear as a Bele | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bron and Brow | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sounds Like Power | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beleout | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Craken Jax | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stepping Stones | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Solemn Vow | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dale’s Bluff | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Velcamp | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Map | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Talking | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I B Flyin | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Live Wire | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summers With Sonya | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Modo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble in Love | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Evanescence | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quantum Burst | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hay Evabody | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aldora | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Follow Up | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Causeway | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Maximum Effort | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Hornet | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quality Spirits | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Classic Tap | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Provider | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Untethered (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Li Grand Zombi | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Robert Lee | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Newman | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Next Time | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mischief Ride | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bds Top Gun | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Maxima | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hannah Boo | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bistineau Beauty | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metallic Maid | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Aurora G | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Betsy Louise | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Maddie | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ve Nina | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Value | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.