Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Who’s the King | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mugatu | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schrader | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brighty | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Jaunt | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square Slice | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brindano | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Count Is On | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keen Surge | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seven’s Eleven | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catahoula Moon | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pudge Boy Palace | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maliblue | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backnthewoods | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Agent | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Have a Party | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Duration | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bring the Smoke | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Market Watch | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Military Hero | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Very Bad Guy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Explosive Love | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamsdocometrue | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bald Cypress | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Galpin Sunday | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party With Smarty | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firmantown | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tyson’s Delivery | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Robert’s Moon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bjorn | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Superlastingsecret | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Night Time Nap | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fan Club | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strava | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Target | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Armando R | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Work Hard | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bob Marco | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Redemption | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Fleet | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hatch | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Electric Eel | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Magic Spin | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woodline | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uniwinner | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Find Faith | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heldish | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Cowboy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artillery Gunnar | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prom Knight | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bali Amour | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenebris | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goodbye Note | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gordian Knot | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All the Hardways | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Radical Right | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Midnight | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debit Card | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | J D Factor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Le Gris | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feeling Woozy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pay Billy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Zipper | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hittheroadjak | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dats My Pharaoh | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shot for the Moon | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Return Fire | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maupansant | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salvo Trigger | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | White Blue | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Grey | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.