Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bright Note | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paradise Ridge | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Getaway | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Restless Mind | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C C Fanta C | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ayzee | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Havemercionus | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Iron | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hammydown | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charlie Brahms | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Expect a Guitar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Reaux Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Annala | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sultan’s Pride | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deal Me Trips | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Mo | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dulce Lorefiche | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make Me a Deal | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gato Blue | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star Rock Star | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yockey’s Drivethru | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starport | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Me Seriously | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Nickel | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asthecoldwindblows | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aller Vite | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sabi | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liar’s Poker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risk Manager | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allnight Moonlight | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calibrate | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Write Off Jerry | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mackadoo | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Edgerton | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Great Escape | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Amalfi Drive | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paris Lily | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amarth | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conch Fried Rice | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doudoudouwanadance | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Mitole | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Causeway Benny | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laser Clad | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jeffrow | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss of All Bosses | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Le Monstre Rapide | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Secret | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Behemah Star | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kenmore West | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Anonima | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Moon | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Mist | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Low Key | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea To Sky (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dawn After Dawn | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra November | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | September Magic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Mo Joke | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Betty’s Dance | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Something Stronger | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tempting Eve | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lonelle | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’z the Law | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | From Scratch | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Myiyla | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Berlaine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slam Diego | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hittin My Stride | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Castle Magic | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Plus | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Margoinabubblebath | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamba Out | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
