Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Incursion | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suncroft | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frack Baby | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crew Dragon | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drewvictory | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Searcy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glass of Jameson | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waco | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Need a Favor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wartime Hero | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Come Out Fighting | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winter’s Ghost | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lea Me Be | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prince Rama | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camp Daddy | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Khozy My Boy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Booming | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Bryan | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Steven | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jacks Spring Break | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | What a Country | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ethical Judgement | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Red Mountain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Treadstone | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Misinformation | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Horse of the Sea | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | French Knight | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jewlz | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Highly Connected | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Extract’s Arrow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Opus Uno | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sir Henry Oliver | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tingus Pingus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | War Munny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sandman | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | San Siro | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Echo Again | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winnemac Avenue | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Track Phantom | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Freedom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King Russell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Classic Car Wash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sir Greylind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Overcome Adversity | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Floating Beauty | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kerry’s Kiss | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gowells Delight | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Woopig | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Showers | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mysidehustle | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thea | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet I’m Not | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vino Tiempo | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spun Candy | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pronghorn | 3.50 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gin’s Beach Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stylish Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Severe Clear | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chica Arma | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Stormin | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | What’s Her Number | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ante Up Tony | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Tifeye | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Sizzle | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Volta | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coldasice | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bl Forty | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C. C. Foxii | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Myspittinimage | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Amelia’s Echo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sound the Siren | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Time Andbeyond | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Max Dot Socks | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natorade | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chromerunner | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Hennessy | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Run | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Castle Gap | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battleoftheravine | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saved | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speaking Loud | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grey Street | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bote | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unified Usyk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Giant Moon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Determinedly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yellow Brick | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Martini | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Batter Up | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hey Big Un | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King Peanut | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hero’s Medal | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s Randy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lear | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ready Shoes | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Speechless | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mansoura | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bayakoa S.) – Bayakoa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nitrogen | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quietside | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nerazurri | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Just My Heels | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose Palace | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Authentic | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peignoir | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Second I D | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost of Midnight | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Surveillance | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dive Bomber | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big City | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreaminblue | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U Devil You | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classify | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Linzer | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inexorable | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Module | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bohemian Bo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Baxley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Divine Celina | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buckeye Favorite | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Justice Addition | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Private Speaker | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Clap Back | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Urluckyurcute | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santa Luzia | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cowboy Killer | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Romange | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rags | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rose Street | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Korda | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Engagement | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Silvertown | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.