Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jennys Wine Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danzig Til Dawn | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Moonlight | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tis Sunrise | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mperfection | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suntory Time | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Siempre Naman | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Novinophobia | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Connection | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No More Ding Dongs | 1.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fincairn | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Georges | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Got Your Six | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make It a Large | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s Limitless | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piney Woods | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greys Over Bays | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Blonde | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feisty Red Head | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jasmine | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Galloping Ghost | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parnelli Jones | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tommy Norris | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Positive Times | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shady Gem | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | County Line Kid | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trojan Mafia | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Thunder Road S.) – Thunder Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | El Potente | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watsonville | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gas Me Up | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Namaron (GER) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Bullingdon | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (D. Wayne Lukas S.) – D. Wayne Lukas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Splendora | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Me and Molly McGee | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Formula Rossa | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Bad Beats | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Muffin | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irina’s Charm | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Joking | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warm Sun and Brew | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Percival | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cardiff Crack | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highplainsdrifter | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strait Up Country | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freeport Joe | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speed of Elon | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cullen J | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Robert B. Lewis S.) – Robert B. Lewis S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Desert Gate | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intrepido | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plutarch | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cherokee Nation | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secured Freedom | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Robusta | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Briggs Armypower | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sweet Life S.) – Sweet Life S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Himika | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mohaven | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Light Won Up | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Famous Forza | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Umbralle | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hypergamy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Total Val | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Ville Lumiere | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Struck By Her (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon and Ginger | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soaring Angel | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yours Sincerely (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.