Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildfire Princess | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deep Blue | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motet | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Maryann | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Lil Lady | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Rose | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Fleet Ride | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Voldemort | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bet Jafinsafa | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theodore George | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clooney | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Mike | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sirnami | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Ride | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Booked Clubhouse | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doing Time | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Debbies Gettinghot | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benny and the Jet | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Sniper | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Vengeance | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bossing Mo | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carl Erskine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Whiz Kidd | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hungover | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Kai | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tee N Off | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Unions | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Crusader | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Rocks | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Moments | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Russells Hustle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castle Leoch | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Del Mar Jerry | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cameron Slough | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ah Jeez | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One of These Days (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cathal (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rimprotector | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Veritas Aequitas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thatsalrightmama | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sasafran | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vronaway | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame Eve | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greta’s Ghost | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makenarita | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Clocker’s Corner S.) – Clocker’s Corner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yellow Card | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Boat Beach | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sumter | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flyover | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Virat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Royalty | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Las Virgenes S.) – Las Virgenes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Meaning | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Corredora | 1.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Explora | 0.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bank Shot | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spycatcher | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Genius Jimmy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Happy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Packs a Wahlop | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rastaman Vibe | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Balladeer | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hiding in Honduras | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wizard of Westwood | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Henry Adams (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lahaina Flavor | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grogu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
