Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nuedorf | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Frost Mountain | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No No Joe | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tuff Constitution | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlins Cruzin | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enforcer | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Captains | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Omaha Eight | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cantaro | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Brown Shoes | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cobble Road | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hala Blue (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She Can Scat | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Vanilla | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Mischief | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Mesa | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Nine Fifty | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ravenite | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nouveau Riche | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Love and Kisses | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eloquist | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral’s Wave | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rerally | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Game Time | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Balantyne | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marty’s Magic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Princess | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mariah’s Big Girl | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wanna Go Home | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hotmessness | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astrid | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosie Warrior | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moor Strength | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Azure Lady | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shock | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mikey’s Song | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faytastic | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be My Queen | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melittlefrostgirl | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lion in the Sun | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up the Kingdom | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunman Jayvo | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lecanto | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Plus Ten | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Penn Franklin | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Reverse the Curse | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honor Mags | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reelin N Dealin | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Centaur Central | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vix | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Airman Trevor | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Anthem | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Splitting Stones | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Ephrem | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Never Sway | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antonacci Girl | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pearls and Heels | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Gem | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Popover Gal | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tara’s Talent | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jump a Fox | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Synergism | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mildoon | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whatta World | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mister Lincoln | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Set | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lasso | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Try Harder | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Action Hero | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midlaner | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B B Bad | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaladin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alani | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mega Mil | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pachelbel | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Ebo | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeanne Marie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carousel Queen | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Like Beth | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Face Down | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ducale | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Persistent Danger | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catire Vizcaya | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Agenda | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome for Sure | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Getaway | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunar Rocket | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vini Vidi Vici | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Joking Way | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fighter Kite | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lieutenant Stan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Run Cory Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Book Runner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.