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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 12, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sea Vista 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Roger Roger 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Poppy’s Ticket 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Limo 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Pop Goes the Wiz 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Implacable 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pair of Socks 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Trust Fund 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Social Hour 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Uncle William 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Thirteen G’s 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Shoot the Nickel 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Current Climate 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Next On Stage 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Goodnightngodbless 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Ready for Trouble 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Shadyside 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Kadena 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kavanaugh 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Scat Tu Tap 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Blame It On Daddy 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Unbridled Bomber 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Indy Rags 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 First Trumpet 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Island Charm 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mathea 1.60 1.2 2-1
6 6 Kaz Farm Girl 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Wayward Queen 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Hip Hop Dancer 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ganderella 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Tank Girl 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Power of Women 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Quinns Silent Roar 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Flee 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 So Tru 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tristar Fury 3.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Celtic Ledger 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Velvet Hammer 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Fiona’s Joy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Liamster 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Top Player 1.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Take a Stance 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Mercilesanihilator 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Essentially Fast 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Instant Success 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Never Say Uncle 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pocket Queens 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Capital Gal 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tower Twenty Two 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Otherpeoplesmoney 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Full Pour 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Lonchura 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Moonlit Weekend 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kay Road 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hot Gossip 1.60 1.1 2-1
7 7 It’s Carol’s Way 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Liam’s Diva 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Celestial Body 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Call Me Jal 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Beau Hill 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Truda 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Maizey Blue 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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