Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Play It Cool | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz the Great | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paid Vacation | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mezzo Soprano | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bigshot Ness | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master Schemer | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Hinx | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gallo | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Treasure Our Time | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Formaggio | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pneumo Warrior | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caprichosainfront | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chilly Girl | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C C Commander | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cross of Valor | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Wait Up | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kerness K | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paco the Taco Man | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breezing Up | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Divino Nino | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Blood | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz No Clown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Worker Bee | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ihaveanappforthat | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildncrazyguy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Manipulator | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhodes | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wall Art | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Princess Lucia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Watch Your Tone | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bay Street | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Isabella’s Glory | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Charlotte | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ribbonsinherhair | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judith’s Cross | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Yumyum Eat Em Up | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dubstep | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kinda Krazy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Drapes | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Azara | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emma Mermaid | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Charming | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Campaign Mischief | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naomi an Ruth | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Mente | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woman Enticed | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nattie’s Boss | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tactics | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feels So Right | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fowl Mouth | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Mode | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Denae | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Digital Security | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Boy Bud | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Darkness | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Old Bay | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzy | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Goddess Factor | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Audibly | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Sue | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bells Beach | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guaponess | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suremeanttoobe | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wickeddivine | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Formal Affair | 8.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Change My World | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Medagooch | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just for the Money | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Runsweetly | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meg | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet’s Dream | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Destination | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margaret P | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Planet Clare | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Map to the Moon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.