Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | White Mountain | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last Call Paul | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Typhoon Tommy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spun Not Stirred | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pat Can’t Count | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Silver Ice | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sensational Dream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nikolina | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watershed Moment | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitty Marren | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manhattan Beauty | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Union Heiress | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Selsae | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Life | 1.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Daddy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brandon’s Girl | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Faithful Truth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rostovsky | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lorenzo Bernini | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Both Sides of Bad | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imagineer | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Island Paradise | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vron by You | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unwritten Code | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rousing Jewel | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Outrageous | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Real Jewel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Rousing Babe | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheeky Gal | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cee’s the Image | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sensational Z Z | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Mihiel | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rose of Jericho | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Step It Out (IRE) | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Latitude | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legal Heir | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Rebel | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midway Lane | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Strike | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Dulce | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delitefull Hart | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pocket Venus | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Artisma | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lovin’ On the Run | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tequilaandtherapy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scary Fast Ride | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Mancuso | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mawu | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | John Metcalfe | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Almost There | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Filkins | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scatalotadingdong | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Hawk | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robin Olds | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beeblebrox | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Passion D Oro | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Omission | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chief Resident | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Flash of Lightning | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.