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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 14, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Minnesota Munny 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 I’m Buzzy 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Pens Street 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Lost Horizon 0.80 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sassy Princess 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (East View S.) – East View S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Victory Hall 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pinky Brier 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Rina’s Revenge 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Galinda 1.20 3.7 7-1
3 3 Purple Divine 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Blue Note 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Salming 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Fort Nelson 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Good Lord 1.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Redacted 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Middle Market 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Seeker’s Hope 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Damon Runyon S.) – Damon Runyon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Arctic Beast 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Time to Roll 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Combat Mission 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Royal Riddle 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Mission Critical 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Portadown Lad 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Purple and Gold 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 La Gran Artesana 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Second Chance 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Signifying Nothing 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Syl’s Pleasure 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Mo Attitude 3.50 6.9 13-1
8 8 Furry Fox 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Eleni 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Leading Role 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Glint 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Divine Leader 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lost in Rome 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Brew Pub 2.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Prince of Truth 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Pot of Gold 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Sin Nombre 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Baron of Sealand 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Curvino 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sergeant Capps 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Knox 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Morlock 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Confabulation 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Leftembehind 8.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Sinister Smile 3.50 9 17-1
7 7 Magnificent Rags 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ranger Battalion 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dettori 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Smilensaycheese 30.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bold Strength 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Tiger Twenty Four 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Notah 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Brazenly 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Shadow Banking 2.50 6.9 13-1
9 9 Waitlist 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Say Florida Sandy S.) – Say Florida Sandy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 El Grande O 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 The Wine Steward 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 National Identity 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Acoustic Ave 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Quick to Accuse 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 General Banker 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Dr. Kraft 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dinghy Bar 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hurricane Kaz 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Bootsy’s a Rascal 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Pride of the Union 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mo Curls 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Prospector 3.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Who’s Your Zaddy 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Mach Seven 5.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Classic Commander 12.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Baby Meanie 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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