Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Back Wall Bandit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | As the Bell Toles | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stylish Gem | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snowboarder | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poney Island | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galibean | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Izzy’s Rock Star | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie’s Fortune | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ivy Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Our Country | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tacit Value | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Fulton Gal | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Lindsey | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | They Got Curry | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Juniper’s Jubilee | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yau Majesty | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellaforce | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Back Home | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gripen | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Have One More | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hoof and Boots | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maggie’s Moon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yes Picnic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rerun Table | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tipmanee | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barbados Bulldog | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knickoletta | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kuaga | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disney Belle | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Mo Muffins | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | What Does It Take | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keeping It Country | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coaches Meeting | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bigtonten | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mistical Curlin | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Catatumbo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fightertown | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiny Lake | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Collection Day | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sailor’s Return | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Khozan | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quincannon | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Nellie Morse S.) – Nellie Morse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Complexity Jane | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Sky Is Falling | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sultry Lass | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Abbie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Late Nite Call | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navani | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atlantis Queen | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kissedbyanangel | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Post Time S.) – Post Time S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cadet Corps | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jokestar | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Fast | 1.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Otter Mischief | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surfside Moon | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warp Nine | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Barbara Fritchie S.) – Barbara Fritchie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Takethemoneyhoney | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dry Powder | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hold Your Breath | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Passage East | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juba’s Parade | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backstretch Rose | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt Enoree | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | On Command | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (General George S.) – General George S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quint’s Brew | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slam Notion | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petingas Twin | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freeze the Fire | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point Dume | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On the Mark | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Kingdom | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Souper Vinnie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twelve Nelson | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Railroad Inn | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It a Lee | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Mirage | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run Tzu | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quahog Republic | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder Cry | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Future | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.