Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wickedly Royal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dose of Reality | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Angel | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Country | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Wine | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talkabout | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Indian Girl | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Away Samari | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time to Party | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notion | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guile | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Metatron’s Muse | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Background | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bigfoot Sighting | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard to Fathom | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Freedom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soulman | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Days Ahead | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Editor | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. All In | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Market Runner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tan Chulo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ain’t No Disco | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hammer of Justice | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Take Backs | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pyromania | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oliverio | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Strike | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vamos Ya | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Rematch | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Byword | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dan d’Oro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Enlighten | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bizzee Channel | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lamplighter Jack | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not Falling Back | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gorilla Trek | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Foxtrot Harry | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funnyflame | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moogie Son | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Towering Storm | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Z Z’s Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Runnin Munnin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blue Chair Bay | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Vengeance | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Command | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Sohn | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cliffs of Dover | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Struck Out | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Swagger | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run David Run | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bonified Crazy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Schwarzmeier | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That’s Right | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbeatable | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Mmmmm | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vacation Dance | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bridle a Butterfly | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slider | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Boss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kinsman Redeemer | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pensacola | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flipping Fish | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Twirling Roses | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shriner | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oncoming Train | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Treaty | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dick Best | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tresillian | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xander | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.