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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 20, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Custom Punch 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lake Marie 5.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 One Line Ruler 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Good N Sassy 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Clever Race 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Where’s Aunt J 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Miss Kennedy 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Alexaplayborntorun 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tough Love Torres 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lil Chilly 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 De’ Ans Eighty 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Margoinabubblebath 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Sally’s Suprise 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Miss Maximus 4.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Iuka Miss 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Kentucky Cajun 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Truly an Honor 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Stress Test 5.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Cara Felce 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Unlikely Queen 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 She’s an Earner 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Harpermarie 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Improve Position 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Pipinna 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rileys Empire 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Factor of Time 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Platinumus Maximus 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Jaja Ja Mar 5.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 My Royal Princess 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 El Star 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 La Maxima 4.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 John’s June 8.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Norma G 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jocasta 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Roar of Silence 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Turf Rocket 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Tuck Check 8.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Miss River Rat 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Deal’em and Weep 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Rosie’s Angus 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Differently 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Chaton Rouge 30.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Dark Dahlia 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Im Singled Up 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Harmonic 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Knock It Off 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Silver Talisman 8.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Zun Day 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Falcon Cove 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Extract’s Arrow 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Election Night 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Toogoodtosell 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Desert Glow 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Star 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Molto Vino 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Precious Money 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Clearly Creeps 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Clearsugar 8.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Snazzy Gal 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Run Bambi Run 20.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Glistening Gal 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Visionista 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 In B. J.’s Honor 20.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Sue’s Little Zing 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Moonie Pie 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Deal Me Trips 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Severus Squall 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Jayjayjay 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tombigbee 12.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Closing Agent 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mr. Brad’s Cowboy 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Ocean Voyager 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Cadillac Bo 30.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Gallabye 20.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Azteca Storm 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Hustlin’ Man 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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