Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ventry Strand | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Third Beer | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Help Myself | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Blue | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Omen | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cruise Home | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fumano’s Magic | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maker and Sons | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Arkadelphia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Morello | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carol’s Comic | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpine Thunder | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Nose | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentlemen’s Club | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Going Deep | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stop Digging | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Em Too | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Artois | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baltic Fire | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lila | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Claire Austin | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Delightful Laura | 3.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preem | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Resolve | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tom’s Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play for Me | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Rapper | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Siempre Naman | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daddygaveittome | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Mischief | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Eliana | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bitter Truth | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Central Dispatch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Harcyn | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doncic | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer Prince | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tigerhon (FR) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Don’t Swear Dave | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Del Oro | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code Duello | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hacking It Up | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Commander (FR) | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dakota Country | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Veritas Aequitas | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Autism Puzzle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hotrocket (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bowtie Boys | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Evco | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grandisimo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Element | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Tizzy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canyahearmeknockin | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aloha Chrome | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Spun Not Stirred | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Wishing Well S.) – Wishing Well S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jungle Peace (IRE) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Egyptian Mau (SAF) | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gratefully | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imaboutago (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amorita | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lizzy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nay V Belle | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Special (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antifona (FR) | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Humor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meridian Mae | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shady Stripes | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can You Dream | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cammy’s Girl | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lyndee’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Voices of Autism | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Tessa | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 98 | Susie’s Loaded | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | California Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Burning Rubber | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Helicity | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Anmer Hall | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yacowlef (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Jab | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlit Sonata | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Crazy Cavalier | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shady Tiger | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ballyvaughan Gig | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Charge for Gold | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lyle The Crocodile (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Decapo | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Beef Winslow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 98 | I’m Otter Here | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Yurak | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Darya (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cortina d’Amprezzo (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chair’s Coin (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Channel Place | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shane’s the Brains | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Essential Lady | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Egyptian Mistress | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daring Pursuit | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zuraya (GB) | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Split | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lerios | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Soul Sister | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nerida (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.