Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lil Central | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Prince | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Artemus | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jus Surprise Me | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antiphon | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Metairie | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Berndt Marshmallow | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Clearly Colossal | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ayden’s Edge | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guitar Man | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Henry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dulce Lorefiche | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Calling On Heaven | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sully | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Somekinda Mischief | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Ben | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Maximo | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Dollar | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tickle Me Unclemo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Celine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Seven | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spite Lite | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec Empress | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Menty B | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lulu’s Magic | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Saint | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Foxy Zorra | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Great Maybe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Smoke | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Say I Do Sadie | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Watering | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Danzig’s Dora | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Day Dawning | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Cold Blonde | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | P. O. S. H. Posh | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Madison Rae | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Izzy’s Monster | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slam Diego | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elle Est Forte | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Anise | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serene Kathleen | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start Singing | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Kitten | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | April’s Gem | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Im Singled Up | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Simona’s Choice | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Interlock Empire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fountain Run | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Whale | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golddiggendevil | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Django | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nassau Circle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Face the Future | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Calicoco | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Passing Judgment | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nopenottonight | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Chopper | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnolia West | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slick and Fast | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sonya Knows Better | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unified Report | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coffee County | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Solution | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speightful One | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sono | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Like This | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oak Hill Lg | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Day | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sonofaship | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Steauxlit | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drewmazing | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Half Way There | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Speedy One | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Honor That Dude | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Samurai’s Grandson | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.