Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sheriff Bart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prize Pick | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Renovator | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bull Shoals | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Donegal Time | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Willian | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mapped Flight | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | General Zapper | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caragogo | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zakinthos | 2.50 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Munny Problem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Vol Du Condor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blind River | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Wrathchild | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bootsontheground | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gotcha | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady O’Brien | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Escape | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Sunday | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Widerthanamile | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fashionable Kitty | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toasttothestones | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestuosa | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Noahs Pride | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Josh Ready | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Black | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Road Mischief | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Il Principado | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rafa Junior | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noah’s Honor | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Foolish Notion | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Henry’s Buddy | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Juste Un Cheval | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brat Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stella Bionda | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Blue | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Junegenai | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Esther | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slewty Princess | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noche de Damas | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Name It | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Human Desire | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Landman Friday | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peppermint Man | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abuelo | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be There | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bob | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Oscar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of the Law | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bottomless Mimosa | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Girl | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downtown Ro | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Wrath | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Silvia | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clocklike | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isola Di Capri | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Schnittker | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Readier | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breezer | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valued Cajun | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Psychedelic Shack | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Banneker | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kinetic Stone | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bless America | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Fixer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speight’spercomete | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Limit Room | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nero Tulip (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Perfect Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bolt House | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Equitas | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Cruiser | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Goodbody | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grexi’s A | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oxar | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Summer | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Social Triumph | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Latch the Hatch | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mish | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Long Pour | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elnajd | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Son of Honor | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nothingsubtle | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Lilo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Now | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Brunch | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Illuminatrice | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gellhorn | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Ready | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Magic (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Mackenzie | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icona (IRE) | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Di Capri | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Jules | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Time | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spirit of Hope | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.