Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Armed N Dangerous | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mugatu | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tuff Luck | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Vibes | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dats My Pharaoh | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minister | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Count Is On | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Watch Your Tone | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enigmatic | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Charm | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Sox | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Song to Remember | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Gift | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kuaga | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Only Maria | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peaceful Union | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Floyness | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Barbados Bulldog | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nantucket | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galpin Sunday | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Junior | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zio Lino | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tethered Soul | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enzo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vida | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flirty Bajan | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greyline Station | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its All Gravy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fayes Heart | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Private Peyton | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Yourself | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R J’s Ice | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maupansant | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Christmas Spirit | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Right of Rush | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Return Fire | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Albert Finnigan | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Grey | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shot for the Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Task Force | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Doomed | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Phlying Phyllis | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Shout to the Lord | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Ashes and Diamonds | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cruz Ramirez | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Bourbon N Lace | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Fabia | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nobody’s Girl | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Blessing (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tap Dancin Cowgirl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grayson’s Girl | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spencerian | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsamonstamash | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kilo Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kittyup | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fastfeld | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Lil Wicked | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Swag | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Lexi | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Mente | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.