Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Itwillbefun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inamorata | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Betty | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hala Blue (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Mischief | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Shore Thing | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ravenite | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Joyce | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fifty Nine Fifty | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ourdaydreamingmiss | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carolannie | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Panama Limited | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inner Excellence | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muskie | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Peppadew | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mon Cher Amour | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Briscoe County | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cynthia Gail | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Misty Bay | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Romance | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gruene Hall | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hope She Fires | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alice Fantastic | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Magnifico | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’sspringboiii | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chartage | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Song | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Sneckdraw | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Magic | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leftover Sushi | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Dream Girl | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misspent | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bright Kohana | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Girl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Volatility | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Date Night Kisses | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Girlfromouterspace | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Accelerated Dating | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chubasco Sauce | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Introubleagain | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Man | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brentwood | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Barou | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Twenty One Kid | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Cory Run | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Aficionado | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Praetorian Guard | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Asmodeus | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aleah Aleah | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Transcendental | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Capital Conquest | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Dark | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Midas | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milagroso | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Haunting Echoes | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Hijinks | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avatude | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Presenceisapresent | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stately Girl | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luv Queen E | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Think I’m in Love | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unsolved Mystery | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stassi | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Uptown Girl | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Equus | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pearls and Heels | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump a Fox | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clout Chaser | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Romanesque | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harmony Road | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alchemism | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marvelous Mo | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preacha Meyers | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duration | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Twentyeighttothree | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Motive | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nimmo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Anointed Spirit | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River’s Gamble | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Connection | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | B D Saints | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back East | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get Like Mike | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Earl of Dassel | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Batter Up Bud | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Lion | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Checkitup | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Conviction | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.