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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 26, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Superpower 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Fever Night 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Grand Commander 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Nantz 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Taparino 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Messi the Magician 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 New York Scrappy 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Register 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Golden Plate 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Free Dance 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Typhoon Fury 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Platform 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Playa Del Mar 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Ez Roll 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Fort Nelson 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Egyptian 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Salming 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Middle Market 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gulfy 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Magicstrikesagain 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Ima Big Bad Wolf 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 First Blessing 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Crowbar Artist 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ruby’s Trouble 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Go Dharma 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My First Love 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Jackie the Joker 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Maggie T 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Miss Lao 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Royal Event 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Open Soul Autism 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Dorth’s Sol Dancer 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Social Hour 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Spirit Dragon 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Shoot the Nickel 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Thirteen G’s 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Seeker’s Hope 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Skytown 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Southeastern 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Escape Hall 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Reside 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Mercilesanihilator 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mo Spice 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bonsai Warrior 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Miami Kaz 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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