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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 27, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ohoopee 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Hot Gossip 1.60 3.6 7-1
5 5 Caradise 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sparkling Mama 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Karey 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Probability 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Volatile Situation 3.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Executive Move 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Kaz Oil Changer 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Alzero 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Nordic Fyre 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pink Rose 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Mursal 1.80 2.8 5-1
5 5 Shetalkstomuch 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 She’s Cool 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Whistler’s Style 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Pens Street 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Soundbite 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nilo’s Rose 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Pistol Liz Ablazen 6.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Yankee Doodle 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Luna Moth 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Baby Sassicaia 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Lika Rolling Stone 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Alias 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Senor Poncho 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Gualillo 1.40 2.7 5-1
4 4 Into Inspiration 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Isola d’Oro 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Admiral Indy 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Army Proud 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Hat Willie 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Riyadh Moon 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Clancy Fancy 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Remi’s Moon 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Scoot Daddy 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Jackson Heights 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Dolly’s Bank 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 No Bees 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 The Obliterator 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 The Toy Cannon 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Anyway 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Slay Sadie Slay 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kid Rich 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lucky Larry 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 St. Brigid’s Cross 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Salute to Service 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Purple Divine 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Belloro 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Probable Angle 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Cravings 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Clarividente 8.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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