Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | With Love (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motet | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Newport Dreamz | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Patriot | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Church Lady (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morgan’s Bluff | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kazamataz | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Millbo Baggins | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gilchrist | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunk Cost Fallacy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hungover | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Gold | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Issa Court | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cameron Slough | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crossanna | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chai | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Splendid | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uffda | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auditory | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensational Z Z | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rousing Jewel | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ryan’s Girl | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiergarten | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unwritten Code | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Otto’s Magic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scene by Me | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bill | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin Command | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Graze | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Raymond | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiz Kidd | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beer Buzz | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Gangster | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Danzing Wild Cat | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Binging | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ya’ll Come | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Go Go | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Billy Joe Shaver | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cupid’s Crusader | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet the Om | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spiritist | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee N Off | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Buena Vista S.) – Buena Vista S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thought Process | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Slam Smile | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vibez | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watchtower | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princesa Moche (PER) | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Perfect Wave | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hannah Buckle (IRE) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Darlin Sugaree | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tammy Baby | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dakota’s Shadow | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pride of Queens | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Tinker Elle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crunchy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victoria’s Jewel | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Om Time Gal | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Novita Dominga | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nerida (FR) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Cherry | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Munny Reigns | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lerios | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bailarina | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shahar | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soul Sister | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinzlee’scharisma | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.