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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 1, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Brooklyn 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Geostoblame 1.20 1.9 4-1
4 4 Charlie Hustle 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Reign It In 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Swedish Candy 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Stanicky 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Trapping Hands 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Current Climate 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Carolina Smokeshow 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mezcalifornia 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Truthorconsequence 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Quick Power Nap 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Another Cleeshay 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Emerald Forest 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Canyouhearmerunnin 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Divine Leader 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Tizmarkus 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 My Man Matty 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Prince of Truth 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Scaramanga 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Noguchi 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Thorsness 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Lucky Dragon 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Sports Hero 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Projectability 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Inonit 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Uncle Barrie 30.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Solo Flight 30.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Daytona Moonshine 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Devine One 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Will of a Womanne 1.40 1.1 2-1
4 4 Sassy Sats 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Houdini’s Bride 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Golden Miracle 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Celeslia 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Pencima 30.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 My Daughters’ Gift 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Tree House 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Looking At Annie 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 House United 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Whiskey N Soda 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Carvellian Quest 3.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Sergeant Capps 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Blown Cover 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ambition 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Turn and Count 2.50 7.1 13-1
6 6 Oil Capital 6.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Rock the Weekend 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Correction S.) – Correction S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 With the Angels 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lucille Ball 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sunday Girl 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 My Lil Punky 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 On Command 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Alani 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hold Your Breath 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Island Charm 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Queen Sally 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Grit N Glitter 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Wayward Queen 15.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Boiling Point 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Saratoga Sunset 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Ishkabibble 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Hip Hop Dancer 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Icy Legs 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Relli’s Cruiser 50.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 My First Dinah 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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